2013 Cloud Prediction Wrap Up

It’s mid December, so everyone who’s anyone creates their own list (a bit of sarcasm here.) Naturally I created mine, but with a twist: I created a list of the 8 IBM white papers on cloud computing not to be missed which of which the content will transcend to 2013 and beyond. But maybe two lists are even better; Forbes for instance has created two, one with 7 sensible predictions and one with 7 ‘half-backed’ ideas for cloud computing in 2013.

So without further ado, here’s my overview of all the sensible predictions on cloud computing for 2013. Let’s evaluate at the end of 2013…

Forbes summary list

Forbes has created a fabulous list based specifically on cloud computing, based on lists from Gartner, Forrester, IDC and Blue Mountain Labs. This list nicely sums it up I think, though I seem to be missing the maturing of platform as a service (PaaS) which I personally (IDC does as well) expect in 2013 to take place.

Forbes: 7 Predictions for Cloud Computing in 2013 that make Perfect Sense

  1. More hosted private cloud (IDC), they’re not on-premises, but they’re not public shared services either.
  2. Cloud and Mobile becoming one (Forrester)
  3. The new PC (Personal Cloud) (Gartner)
  4. More cloud service brokerage (Gartner)
  5. The rise of Industry-specific (IDC) and Community clouds (Blue Mountain Labs)
  6. Cloud talent shortage looms (IDC)
  7. “Cloud” as a defining term fades (Forrester)

Personal view

Personally I think integration, architecture, compliance and security will also be hot topics for 2013 because IT landscapes will increasingly be scattered across multiple cloud services at different cloud providers. This can only be done effectively when the architecture and integration requirements, both technical and functional, are met and governed. As cloud services will also be used for production workloads, compliance and (integrated) security focus becomes essential to adhere to organizational rules and governmental regulation.

Individual analyst firms

Lastly I’ve listed the three analyst firm lists individually, and highlighted the main topics.

Gartner: Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2013

  1. Mobile Device Battles, by 2013 mobile phones will overtake PCs as the most common Web access device worldwide and that by 2015 over 80 percent of the handsets sold in mature markets will be smartphones.
  2. Mobile Applications and HTML5, there will be a long term shift away from native apps to Web apps as HTML5 becomes more capable.
  3. Personal Cloud, the personal cloud will gradually replace the PC as the location where individuals keep their personal content, access their services and personal preferences and center their digital lives.
  4. Enterprise App Stores, by 2014 many organizations will deliver mobile applications to workers through private application stores.
  5. The Internet of Things, embedded in a variety of mobile devices include embedded sensors, image recognition technologies and NFC payment.
  6. Hybrid IT and Cloud Computing, IT departments must play multiple roles in coordinating IT-related activities, and cloud computing is now pushing that change to another level.
  7. Strategic Big Data, moving towards multiple systems, including content management, data warehouses, data marts and specialized file systems tied together with data services and metadata, which will become the “logical” enterprise data warehouse.
  8. Actionable Analytics, providing simulation, prediction, optimization and other analytics, to empower even more decision flexibility at the time and place of every business process action.
  9. In Memory Computing, numerous vendors will deliver in-memory-based solutions over the next two years driving this approach into mainstream use.
  10. Integrated Ecosystems, a shift to more integrated systems and ecosystems and away from loosely coupled heterogeneous approaches.

IDC: Predictions for 2013

  1. The IT industry as a whole is moving toward the mobile/social/cloud/big data world of the 3rd Platform much more quickly than many realize.
  2. Mobile devices will continue to be a significant driver of worldwide IT spending.
  3. Cloud will also be a powerful contributor to industry developments in 2013 with the merger & acquisition.
  4. An explosion in industry PaaS (public platform as a service) offerings as the market moves up the software stack and “horizontal” PaaS becomes commoditized by platforms built on open source-based infrastructure.
  5. The trend toward industry-specific solutions will be further driven by the increased participation of line of business (LoB) executives in IT investment decisions.
  6. Converged systems (combining server, storage and network systems together with the software to manage them) and software-defined networking will transition from market hype to market reality in 2013.
  7. Bring Your Own Identity” (BYOID) will bring consumerization to enterprise security in 2013.
  8. The social software market, enterprise software vendors will continue to step up their app transformations with social technology acquisitions
  9. Big data will continue on its growth path, with investment in technologies and services growing to nearly $10 billion in 2013.

Forrester: Cloud Predictions for 2013

  1. We’ll No Longer Believe That “Everything is Going Cloud.”
  2. Cloud and Mobile Technology Will Merge
  3. We’ll No Longer Be Up In Arms About Cloud SLAs
  4. We’ll Have a More Realistic Outlook on Cost Modeling
  5. We’ll Start Taking the Cloud Seriously When it Comes to Backup & DR
  6. Cloud Will Not Be Considered a Commodity
  7. Cloud Will No Longer Be Equated with AWS
  8. Developers Will Finally Realize that Development isn’t that Different Via Cloud
  9. Cyber Security Could Become Federal Law
  10. The Mobile Wave Will Move Much Quicker
  11. Big Data and Cloud Computing Boom
  12. Asia Will Gravitate Towards Cloud Servers
  13. Local Cloud Networks Will Start Emerging
  14. Community Clouds Will Start Advancing

By Edwin Schouten, find out more on edwinschouten.nl or follow me via @schoutene.

One Comment Add yours

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s